Long Hot Summer Helps Re-establish Yield
Gap Between
Primary and Secondary Property Markets
Colin
Whitelaw
2006 looks destined to be remembered fondly by many Scots
for its long hot summer. Investors in Scottish property, though,
are more likely to remember this summer as the time when a
yield gap returned between prime and secondary properties
in the heat of a market that continues to be buoyed by a range
of investors keen to pump money into property.
These
investors comprise not only financial institutions and fund
managers but also overseas and individual property investors,
many of whom are entrepreneurs that have taken control over
their own affairs by investing directly in property themselves
due to a dissatisfaction with the returns from their pension
funds. It has been this steady supply of money into the property
market from investors, rather than rental growth, which has
kept property values at record levels.
However,
with interest rates having crept up recently and looking likely
to creep up further, coupled with a lack of rental growth,
valuers and lenders have realised, albeit belatedly, that
primary and secondary yields are simply too close. As a consequence,
the market is currently adjusting to re-establish the traditional
gap between primary and secondary property yields.
Whilst
prime yields have, if anything, grown firmer over recent months
- a reflection of the fact that good quality stock will always
be in demand from institutions - there are some secondary
properties that have failed to sell or whose yields have fallen
as valuers, banks and investors have realised that secondary
and tertiary properties have been over-valued.
Consequently,
there has been, and continues to be, a degree of adjustment
in the market to reassert the true distent between primary
and secondary property yields, though a noticeable feature
of the market in Scotland is that yields tend to be firmer
than those south of the border as, in general, the Scottish
property market is less volatile in Scotland than it is in
England.
These
market trends have required some lateral thinking on the part
of investors and particularly property companies. For example,
rather than acquiring secondary properties with a view to
adding value to them and increasing the rent through hands-on
asset management, some investors, particularly property companies,
have instead moved into Europe, returned to development or
looked at other classes of investment, such as leisure and
healthcare.
And some investors have realised that better margins can be
achieved and there is more scope for adding value from acquiring
properties in less fashionable locations, towns like Inverness
or East Kilbride, which risk averse investors tend to aviod,
rather than in Scotland’s major cities.
Indeed,
one of the largest sector of property transactions over the
last few years has come from owner/occupiers selling their
property assets and returning that capital into their core
business and that’s a trend that looks likely to continue
since the highest percentage of commercial and industrial
property in the UK remains owned by owner/occupiers.
The
government realised the benefits to be had from outsourcing
property ownership years ago, introducing the PFI and PPP
programmes to build new schools and hospitals, and the same
principle of property sale and leaseback still has a major
role to play in helping owner/occupiers maximise the potential
to be had from their core business.
The
summer months might have re-established a yield gap between
primary and secondary properties. This may see a return by
the Property companies to the secondary property market, but
there is also going to be a healthy supply from owner/occupiers
realising assets.
Colin
Whitelaw is Chief Executive of Property Investor Partnerships